Gazprom pipelines and export capacity

Газопроводы Газпрома и экспортные мощности

Gas pipelines of West Siberia

Газопроводы Западной Сибири

Export flows of Gazprom

Экспортные потоки

Spot, Gazprom, Brent

Цены на нефть и газ

End-use price of gas

Russia and USA

Daily gas production

Суточная добыча


Gazprom ships steady daily volumes via Nord Stream and meets the fluctuations of demand via Ukraine


After the cancelation of restrictions on access to the OPAL pipeline, Gazprom ships steady daily volumes of about 167 million cubic meters (mmcm) via Nord Stream with the OPAL flow to Czech Republic varying from 80 to 100 mmcm/day. Gazprom uses the Ukrainian routes to Slovakia and Poland for more flexible supplies in accordance with the consumers' demand.

Apparently, the demand for more expensive peak-load gas in North-Western Europe (and Germany, specifically) is met by other than Nord Stream sources. Note that storage injection in Germany continued to the end of October.

Cost calculations of Gazprom indicate that the company plans to use same flat pattern for the daily supplies of gas via Nord Stream 2.

It is unclear who would provide winter peak-load gas to Central Europe if Gazprom diverts the gas flows from Ukraine to Nord Stream 2. It is also unclear where the excessive volumes of summer gas would go and if NW Europe needs that much base-load gas.

Change of the flow pattern in accordance with the seasonal demand would affect the cost of supply and reduce Gazprom profit.

Mikhail Korchemkin

East European Gas Analysis

Malvern, PA, USA

 

January 21, 2018

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